Montana Math MT.CORE.DATA.PROB.1

MathGrades 9–12Probability

The Standard

Understand the concept of a sample space and describe events as subsets of a sample space.

2026 Montana Mathematics Content Standards · Data Reasoning and Probability

Teacher's field guide

What This Standard Means

What Students Need to Do

Students list every possible outcome of a chance process. They describe an event by naming the outcomes that meet a given condition.

What Mastery Looks Like

With two labeled coins, a student lists HH, HT, TH, and TT without repeats. They write the event 'exactly one head' as {HT, TH}.

Common Misconceptions

Students may list only H and T for two coin flips. They may treat HT and TH as the same outcome, or name an event without listing its outcomes.

How to Assess It

Exit ticket: Two labeled coins, A and B, are flipped. List every outcome in A, B order, then write the event 'exactly one head' as a set of outcomes.

Lesson moves

Ways to Teach It

  1. Flip two labeled coins and record each result in A, B order, then circle the results with exactly one head.

  2. Ask: Are HT and TH the same outcome when coins A and B are labeled? Explain with a sketch.

  3. Give pairs cards marked HH, HT, TH, and TT; call out 'at least one head' and have them show every matching card.

  4. For a two-day weather forecast, list the wet or dry sequences and mark those with exactly one wet day.

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Printable MT.CORE.DATA.PROB.1 Worksheet

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