CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-CP.A.2

MathGrades 9–12Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability

The Standard

Understand that two events A and B are independent if the probability of A and B occurring together is the product of their probabilities, and use this characterization to determine if they are independent.

Common Core State Standards for Mathematics

Teacher's field guide

What This Standard Means

What Students Need to Do

Students calculate the chance that two events both happen and compare it with the product of the separate chances. They use that comparison to decide whether one event affects the other.

What Mastery Looks Like

Given a table, diagram, or stated probabilities, students correctly find P(A), P(B), and P(A ∩ B). They justify independence with an equation and explain the result in context.

Common Misconceptions

Students often confuse independent events with mutually exclusive events. They may multiply probabilities automatically or declare events independent when values are only close because of rounding.

How to Assess It

Exit ticket: Roll a fair six-sided die. Are the events “roll an even number” and “roll greater than 3” independent? Show three probabilities.

Lesson moves

Ways to Teach It

  1. Give pairs a coin and die; they run 40 trials, tally heads and even rolls, then compare observed joint and product probabilities.

  2. Ask students to explain why drawing a red card changes the chance of drawing another red card when the first card is not replaced.

  3. Give teams event-pair cards using dice, cards, and spinners; they calculate three probabilities and sort each pair as independent or dependent.

  4. Use a two-way table about school lunch choice and grade level; students test whether the two categories appear independent.

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Printable HSS-CP.A.2 Worksheet

Preview of the CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-CP.A.2 printable worksheet

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Learning progression

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