CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-CP.B.6

MathGrades 9–12Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability

The Standard

Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B's outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model.

Common Core State Standards for Mathematics

Teacher's field guide

What This Standard Means

What Students Need to Do

Students narrow the possible outcomes to the group named after “given.” They count how many outcomes in that group also meet the other condition, form a fraction, and explain its meaning.

What Mastery Looks Like

Students can find conditional probabilities from a two-way table, tree diagram, or written situation. They choose the correct restricted group as the denominator and explain the result in context.

Common Misconceptions

Students often use the total sample size as the denominator instead of the number in the given group. They may reverse the conditions or count only one event instead of the overlap.

How to Assess It

Exit ticket: Of 30 students, 12 play an instrument and 8 of those play a sport. Find the probability a student plays a sport given that they play an instrument, then explain your denominator.

Lesson moves

Ways to Teach It

  1. Give pairs number cards, keep only even cards, then find the probability that a remaining card is greater than six.

  2. Ask students to explain why the chance of playing soccer given tenth grade may differ from being in tenth grade given soccer.

  3. Play a table-reading relay where teams identify the given group, overlap count, and conditional probability for each two-way table.

  4. Use cafeteria survey data to find the probability of a food allergy among students who chose a specific lunch.

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Printable HSS-CP.B.6 Worksheet

Preview of the CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-CP.B.6 printable worksheet

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Learning progression

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