Virginia SOL 5.PS.3.a

Math5th GradeProbability and Statistics

The Standard

Determine the probability of an outcome by constructing a sample space (with a total of 24 or fewer equally likely possible outcomes), using a tree diagram, list, or chart to represent and determine all possible outcomes.

Virginia Standards of Learning for Mathematics · The student will determine the probability of an outcome by constructing a model of a sample space and using the Fundamental (Basic) Counting Principle.

Teacher's field guide

What This Standard Means

What Students Need to Do

Students organize the possible results of a two-step event using a tree diagram, list, or chart. They use that model to find the probability of a chosen result.

What Mastery Looks Like

Students create an accurate tree diagram, organized list, or chart without missing or repeating results. They count the matching results and write probability as favorable outcomes over total outcomes.

Common Misconceptions

Students may add the numbers of choices instead of multiplying them. They may skip repeated-looking outcomes or count favorable results without using the full sample space. Some assume outcomes are equally likely when they are not.

How to Assess It

Give students a coin and a spinner with three equal sections labeled A, B, and C. Ask them to show the sample space and find the probability of heads with B.

Lesson moves

Ways to Teach It

  1. Have pairs flip a coin and spin a four-section spinner, then build a chart showing the eight possible results.

  2. Ask students to explain which model, tree diagram, list, or chart, makes a two-step situation easiest to check.

  3. Play Sample Space Race, where teams draw two choice cards and earn points for listing every combination without repeats.

  4. Design a carnival game using two equal spinners, then calculate the probability of winning and decide whether the game is fair.

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Printable 5.PS.3.a Worksheet

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