CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-IC.B.3

MathGrades 9–12Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions

The Standard

Recognize the purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain how randomization relates to each.

Common Core State Standards for Mathematics

Teacher's field guide

What This Standard Means

What Students Need to Do

Students distinguish sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies by how data are collected. They explain that random sampling supports generalizing, while random assignment supports cause-and-effect conclusions.

What Mastery Looks Like

Given a study description, students correctly name the design and justify their choice. They explain whether results can support generalization, cause and effect, or only an association.

Common Misconceptions

Students often confuse random sampling with random assignment. They may claim that any study using randomization proves causation, or that an observational study cannot use a random sample.

How to Assess It

Give this exit ticket: “A school randomly selects 100 students and records their sleep and GPA.” Identify the study type, explain the randomization, and state an allowed conclusion.

Lesson moves

Ways to Teach It

  1. Sort study scenario cards into three labeled hoops, then mark where random sampling or random assignment occurs and what conclusion is allowed.

  2. Discuss whether a survey, experiment, or observational study best answers, “Does later school start time improve attendance?” Defend one choice in writing.

  3. Play Study Design Relay, where teams classify scenario cards, identify the randomization used, and earn a point for naming a valid conclusion.

  4. Analyze a news report about health or education, then identify the study design and check whether the headline overstates the findings.

Learning progression

Where This Standard Sits

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