CCSS.Math.Content.7.SP.C

Math7th GradeStatistics and Probability

The standard

Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models.

Common Core State Standards for Mathematics

What this standard means

Students need to connect chance events to numbers from 0 to 1, build simple probability models, and use them to predict results. They should compare what a model says should happen with what actually happens in trials or simulations.

Mastery looks like explaining why a probability is reasonable, using fractions, decimals, or percents, and revising a model when results do not fit. Students often get stuck thinking small samples prove a rule, confusing experimental and theoretical probability, or assuming all outcomes are equally likely.

Ways to teach it

  • Have students roll two dice 50 times, record sums, then compare their results to a table of all possible outcomes.
  • Ask students to write: If a spinner lands on red 70% of the time, what might the spinner look like?
  • Show 10 trial results from a bag draw and ask students to choose the most likely bag contents from three options.
  • Use weather forecasts to compare a 30% chance of rain with what happens over many days in local data.

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Related standards

  • CCSS.Math.Content.7.SP.C.7a

    Develop a uniform probability model by assigning equal probability to all outcomes, and use the model to determine probabilities of events.

  • CCSS.Math.Content.HSS-MD.B.7

    (+) Analyze decisions and strategies using probability concepts (e.g., product testing, medical testing, pulling a hockey goalie at the end of a game).

  • CCSS.Math.Content.7.SP.C.7

    Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good...

  • CCSS.Math.Content.7.SP.C.7b

    Develop a probability model (which may not be uniform) by observing frequencies in data generated from a chance process.

Standard text verified against corestandards.org on July 10, 2026.

Page updated July 10, 2026.

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